Peak oil may be closer than claimed

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This subforum is for discussions of any issues and concerns that impact the environment, such as biodiversity, global climate change, genetically engineered plants and animals, human population, animal and nature conservation, natural disasters, etc. Host: Kernos

Re: Peak oil may be closer than claimed

Postby Corwen » 29 Nov 2009, 23:18

DJ Droood wrote:Oh. I'm sure you leave a smaller footprint, make fewer "greenhouse gases" (if you are convinced that this makes a difference)...actually, I'm not so sure now, since I read your last confession about wood burning.... But your voluntary penury (if it is voluntary) is a choice that only a sub-culture has the luxury of making. If everyone was to chose this lifestyle, your country would quickly run out of land, firewood and ditch nettles, and then the die off would begin anyway. Your "anti-civilization" model, like that of the urban scavengers, is both parasitic and misanthropic.


I am convinced, as are most of the worlds scientists. As for wood burning, I think Katie has explained that burning wood for fuel is carbon neutral, we are both really suprised you didn't know that, it is common knowledge.

Re penury, I can assure you that we work, on average, two days a week. We could earn a lot more if we wanted to, but since all our needs are met and we prefer to spend our time doing what we want and pursuing our own interests, then we don't need to work any harder. I think most people would make this choice if they could, not that I'm being smug.

As for what would happen if everyone chose our lifestyle, well you are clearly and obviously wrong. For a start more people on this planet live like us than how I assume you live, and although this is an increasingly crowded country there is still room for every family, even in England, to have around 3-4 acres each were the space divided up fairly, more than enough room for a bit of hazel coppice to supply those 2 bucketfuls of wood a day! It has been repeatedly shown that the UK could feed itself were a mixed permacuture type agriculture adopted. Its not what would happen if everyone adopted my lifestyle that is the problem, its what would happen if everyone lived like the average Canadian we need to worry about.

DJ Droood wrote:I did mean "delusional"...my spell check changed it to disillusion, and I added an "al" on the end without checking closely, but thank you for being as pedantic as you are sanctimonious! Suddenly the promise of nuclear energy seems far less grating than having to live beside you in a tent.


I wasn't being pedantic, I just couldn't understand what you were saying. As for living next door to us, don't worry, you aren't invited.

DJ Droood wrote:Utopian nonsense. you are simply hiding, waiting until the End Times....which might not be a bad strategy...like I said before, get the jump on everyone else....you will probably survive better than many others...but if you think your strategy will somehow "heal the world", well....I should know better than to argue with the "faithful".


I don't really understand where you are coming from- do you actually want some kind of cataclysm? I am certainly not waiting for anything, just getting on with my life as I like and as I think is right. We have precious little chance of healing the world, as you say, if even those who are informed enough to know about what is happening choose to do nothing. You are a parent DJ, I am not. I'd have thought your vested interest in the future of the planet and the human race would be greater than mine.

DJ Droood wrote:You can live anyway you want, obviously, but your "growing movement" seems to be like the growth of mold on the decay of the previous oil culture, but just as dependent on it, in the end.


I must say it is rather depressing to hear such language from someone on a Druid forum, this is often regarded as an Earth-centred path, though I sometimes wonder if it is more accurately a self centred path.

Of course our lives are dependant on oil culture, that would be true of pretty much everyone who lives in a western country. The system of energy and food distribution is such that it is impossible to extricate yourself from it. However lot of people are trying to change that, look at the whole transition town movement here.

DJ Droood wrote:Log fire? How selfish! The CO2 produced! And you expect everyone in the UK to live like that? Do you really have enough trees to cut? Or is this just a lifestyle for a privileged "subculture" ? Or perhaps after the die off, there will be enough furniture from nasty civilization to burn for a generation.


We don't cut down any trees for fuel here, what falls down naturally is more than enough to fuel our stove. The farm owners who live in the farm house burn wood cut on the local nature reserve for conservation purposes (it is a heath- it is necessary to cut the saplings to prevent the heath from becoming a woodland). Almost everyone in the UK lived like without central heating until recently, according to the census only 30% of UK homes had central heating even in 1970.

Actually I find it sad and ironic that the people who use less should have to justify their behaviour to those who (I assume) use more.
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Re: Peak oil may be closer than claimed

Postby Corwen » 29 Nov 2009, 23:26

DJ Droood wrote:Looking for a solution that will help humanity and stop fooling yourself? If everyone in your country...what, 60 million people or so?...picked up 2 buckets of "naturally fallen" wood every day, how long do you think that could last? And can you imagine the environmental damage?


What do you think that 60 million heat their houses with now? What do you think the damage is from that?

Apologies if I come across as preachy, that isn't my intention, but this is a thread about Peak Oil and I am, as you may have guessed, a committed environmentalist so its hard to talk about it without actually expressing my views. Would be rather pointless otherwise, don't you think?

Perhaps we should return to a conversation about what sort of wand we use?

I would say if you two are really interested in dialogue and change, you should drop the sanctimony and the religious "you can't call yourself earth-centered" talk. (although I don't know many who would want to use a New Age buzzword like that to describe themselves.) Just some friendly advice. It is just too easy to tune you out, and you may actually have some good ideas worth discussing.


Well, duh, Druidry is among other things a religion, at least to some people. As for whether you can call yourself 'earth-centred', only you know that. New Age buzzword, well no, just a value, but those seem to be out of fashion in ironic post-modern Druidry.

Tune me out, please do.
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Re: Peak oil may be closer than claimed

Postby DJ Droood » 29 Nov 2009, 23:33

Corwen wrote:Tune me out, please do.



zoink! tuned out...that as easy!
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Re: Peak oil may be closer than claimed

Postby Merlyn » 29 Nov 2009, 23:59

There really is a drui misconception about trees.
We absolutely should be good woodsmen, forestry experts, and wood craftsmen (& craftswomen).

We always hold trees sacred, because it is a lot better then holding plastic sacred :-)

Look, it's a difficult time.
Now, hold tight... it's going to be a real bumpy ride.

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Re: Peak oil may be closer than claimed

Postby DJ Droood » 30 Nov 2009, 00:43

Merlyn wrote:There really is a drui misconception about trees.
We absolutely should be good woodsmen, forestry experts, and wood craftsmen (& craftswomen).


I think in many parts of North America, we have a bit of an embarrassment of riches when it comes to trees. Clear cut areas are a visual blight, but a well managed forest is a tremendous renewable resource.
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Re: Peak oil may be closer than claimed

Postby Merlyn » 30 Nov 2009, 01:32

Yes it is!
Our California and Utah forests are just burning out because forestry was abandoned.
They are figuring that out now ... :huh: Stupid people? All of the sudden ... what?
Un-real! :shrug:

Peak oil... oh yea, gotta stay on topic...
I had a real peak moment with my wife tonight, no oil needed :daisy: :grin:

Life isn't what they say, its what you make it.
Some old druid taught me that :wink:

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Re: Peak oil may be closer than claimed

Postby DJ Droood » 30 Nov 2009, 02:28

Merlyn wrote:Peak oil... oh yea, gotta stay on topic..


ummm...ok....congrats about wife.... :blink:

Have you noticed how stable gasoline prices have been over the past 10 months or so...it has been around 92 to 94 cents a litre here...(around 3.50 US gallon?)...which seems fairly reasonable, and is in sharp contrast to the weird spikes of 2008...and here is what the experts know:

On June 10th 2008, the chief executive of the world's largest energy company, the Russian gas monopoly Gazprom, predicted that oil prices will reach the striking figure of $250 per barrel in 2009


Price today?

After U.S. markets opened yesterday following the Thursday Thanksgiving holiday, benchmark NYMEX crude prices dropped to a low of $72.39 a barrel, a decline of $5.57 cents from the previous closing prices and the largest dollar decline since April 20.


So....what is the deal? I would have put my money on our Russian oil exec being right 14 months ago...so what happened? Is it the depressed economy? supply/demand? I know they haven't (and won't) "produce (haha) any more significant oil supplies...has demand dropped that sharply?
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Re: Peak oil may be closer than claimed

Postby Merlyn » 30 Nov 2009, 03:10

Ok, let's do the math....
($2.56 a gallon at this point)
Take politics....
It might be argued that Switzerland is a special case without much relevance to the rest of Europe.
It is true enough that the country has its own individual form of popular democracy - and that it is home to only 320,000 Muslims, between 4% and 5% of the population. But it is not just in Switzerland that the presence of growing Muslim communities has polarized opinion. A series of controversies from the Rushdie affair 20 years ago to the more recent row over Danish cartoons depicting the Prophet Muhammad have reflected the unease that many Europeans feel about this relatively new Muslim presence. This is not confined to a few tabloid newspapers or a few xenophobic right-wing parties. It is an Islamophobia driven by a variety of factors. Since the attacks of 9/11 in the United States, and the bombings in Madrid and London, Muslims have often been regarded as a security threat. They are seen as not just resistant to integration, but determined to impose their values on the Christian or post-Christian societies of the West.
For governments anxious to maintain social harmony at home and good relations with Muslim governments abroad, this poses a set of difficult dilemmas.
And for many of the estimated 15 million Muslims in Western Europe, the Swiss vote will be seen as one more sign that - whatever governments may say - they are simply not welcome.


Take geography;
http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/

Now you know why I won't sell my bike.
I'll sell the house first... (I own the bike)

Let's look at disinformation;
http://www.threeworldwars.com/new-world-order.htm

"Peak Oil"
News? or history?
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2009/nov/29/peak-oil

Lets talk "trade triangles" (geometry of money... Masons?)
Hummm...... math...
Waste fuel?
Muslims?
Oil?
Hummm................................. economy?
But its all our fault! ... or... is it?
Disinformation....
has demand dropped that sharply

It doesn't take much for demand to drop off. With the recent example of the Thanksgiving holiday;
There were almost no airport delays. There was very much less traffic congestion, unheard of for this holiday in the US.
Just a 10% drop in daily use means millions to OPEC.
Newer cars are cutting it even more. I don't know about the rest of the world as well, but in the US it has been noticeable.


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ac o wybod, gwybod yn gyfiawn;
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Duw a phob daioni.
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