Hi, Aethnen
As you say hypothesis and personal gnosis is one thing, backing it up with academic rigour another. I understand that very well. As a Classicist and Historian by training I question everything put forward as fact as a matter of course. It's very rare anything can be said with absolute certainty where history is concerned. I've always compared trying to establish historical fact to trying to get a hold on a large live, wet and thrashing salmon! What one generation of historians postulate as fact is frequently turned upside down by the next with new discoveries or sometimes even merely a re-interpretation of the evidence. Indeed, it's a bit of a personal bugbear how ideas put forth as mere theories are readily absorbed and embraced as absolute fact even when later evaluations convincingly tear them apart, and get churned out blithely and willy-nilly at every possible occasion, as most people
do believe what they read in books as 'gospel' (pardon the association!).
I fear concrete evidence to support our theories would be thin. For the name, a starting point would be to establish what the earliest recorded forms of Gwenfrewi's name was. Correct me if I'm wrong but neither Ffraid nor Gwenfrewi appear in any of the early Welsh literature - not by those name, anyway. I've seen Ffraid (well Brighid) connected to Ceridwen... and I suppose there lies another tantalising possibility to the Ffraid-Gwenfrewi hypothesis. The evidence for the Irish Brighid being a triple goddess is pretty strong - does our Welsh Gwenfrewi represent not so much her maiden aspect, but her crone? Is it merely a coincidence that Gwenfrewi's feast day is the 3rd November?
Anyway, to get back to evidence! Leaving aside written sources, we're left I think largely with archaeology. I'm afraid I don't know what pre-Christian finds have been associated with wells and waterways connected to Ffraid and Gwenfrewi off the top of my head. I don't know whether any archaeological investigation have actually been carried out at any. A quick internet search revealed this:
http://www.data-wales.co.uk/holy_wells.htm which I've got vague memories of stumbling across before. Whether those investigations it talks about did take place in 2004, I don't know. It would be worth pursuing, but would require access to a university archaeology library, I fear! Interesting what it says about the 'Gwen' though!
Whether there's ever been a proper archaeological examination of St Winifride's at Holywell, I also don't know. I suspect not. I've found a comprehensive list of articles at the RHS
http://www.rhs.ac.uk/bibl/xSearch.asp?D ... descending but most articles relating to the well seem to be firmly in the Christian period. Knowing the site, I think it is unlikely that any thorough investigation has been carried out as it would be too destructive. Indeed, an indication of the paucity of archaeological investigation is revealed in this article:
http://people.bath.ac.uk/liskmj/living- ... ns1ne1.htm . Distinctly reluctant to acknowledge the pre-Christian roots of the wells, isn't it?
But I suspect no matter how much research undertaken, it would be impossible to 'prove' anything. The surviving evidence both written and archaeological is (at present) too scant. And that is frustrating, yes, as it would be nice with certainty that Ffraid and Gwenfrewi were one and the same. But as long as we are careful to emphasise that this is a hypothesis, and present the evidence to support it, it's still a valid hypothesis. And after all, there are very few things we can 'prove' with absolute certainty about anything regarding ancient Celtic religious beliefs and practices. It's all largely hypotheses built on fragments of evidence gleamed from sources of varying degrees of reliability.
What I think we're really coming up against most when we ask the question, 'Were Ffraid and Gwenfrewi essentially the same?' is the fact that very little research appears to have been done into the pre-Christian nature of all those early Welsh saints (and the Irish and Cornish ones too for that matter). We get little nods from some quarters, such as in the last of those articles, that, 'maybe, with their head-lopping off themes they represent a remnant of pagan severed head cults', and that's largely it. Frequently there's no acknowledgement that these saints were anything more than saints (I know that at St Winifride's in Holywell, they don't acknowledge anything on the site prior to the Christian shrine). Would make a fascinating PhD for someone, I'm sure!
Blessings,
Gwenynen.